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Showing posts from January, 2023

Weekly Roundup: January 17-20, 2023 (Week 3/52)

  Weekly Roundup: Week 3     Market Review:          The market has finally come back down to earth. We saw our first week with declines in the major indices of the market. Our week was shortened to honor the great Martin Luther King Jr on Monday. Stocks lagged during the middle part of the week, and fear started to grow. However, we saw a nice rally on Friday, with NASDAQ leading the charge. Stocks still managed to see a decline, but it was good to see those declines subside with a solid trading session on Friday. This week wasn't filled with too many economic prints coming out. One that stood out, was the retail sales. Retail sales fell about 1.1%, compared to a year earlier. This was the biggest decline in 2022, and it comes at a time in which holiday shopping was taken into consideration. I can see this rolling into a lot of our retail companies earnings reports. We can blame inflation for this, as a lot of consumers have had to cover their necessities, and have no leftover mon

Weekly Roundup: January 9-13, 2023 (Week 2/52)

  Weekly Roundup: Week 2 Market Review:          The positive sentiment surrounding the stock market, is something we have not seen in a while. It is giving investors an uneasy feeling, with all of the talks of an upcoming recession happening. Things changed this week though, Banks earnings came out on Friday. The overall message coming from a majority of the banks are that if a recession does loom, it will be a lot more mild than anticipated. This week brought us some key economic reports. Thursday was the day to watch out for, with all of the inflation data coming out. Inflation has been a hot topic over the past few years. The Federal Reserve has been hiking interest rates to try and curb inflation. We got a good idea of how effective the Fed has been in doing their job. All the inflation data came in as expected, but most importantly, came in lower than previous levels. Core CPI on a year-over-year basis came in at 5.7%, which was lower than the 6.0% in the previous period. CPI on

Weekly Roundup: January 3-6, 2023 (Week 1/52)

  Weekly Roundup: Week 1 Market Review:          The stock market started off the new year with a slight rally in week 1. S&P 500 was up a whopping 1.86% this week, thanks to a solid rally on Friday. This week was filled with economic data as a lot of vital numbers came out. What led to the rise on Friday was the Nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate. The unemployment rates came in at 3.5%, which was below the forecast of 3.7%. These are unusually low for the current state the economy is in. It is quite interesting to see a lot of major corporations cutting workforce to cut expenditures. Nonfarm payrolls came in higher at 223,000, compared to estimates of 200,000. This data reflects that inflation could be cooling a little bit. We could see The Fed lay off on being aggressive on the rate hikes. Stocks rallied on the news of this information. I still think we are in some unusual times, and it is extremely difficult to predict where the market is headed.  Company Earnings: Thurs

2023 Plan and Outlook

  2023: The Year of The Unknown    Happy New Year Stock Talkers!             2023 is going to be a year of the unknown. As investors, we all want to know what is going to happen in the future. Analysts spend their lifetimes and careers trying to predict the market, and not a single one has a 100% accuracy rate in doing so. The overall theme of the beginning part of this year, is that a recession is on the verge. I can in fact see this falling into the place, given the current state of the interest rates and the housing market. Consumers discretionary income is going to be falling, with the rise in prices of a lot of necessities. This is going to cause the companies earnings to slow down, which could be a misleading factor to some of the companies. The recession makes the average investor fearful, but I have a different perspective on this whole ordeal.          I want to give a quick heads up, I have a long-term mindset. Most of this article pertains to an individual with a long-term m